Prediction markets

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The markets whose odds shifted most in the last 24 hours. A prediction market is a news feed where the headline is a number and the number pays out. Each row is one click from taking the other side.

settled and same-day markets stripped · they move most and mean least

On some markets a third party funds the reward pool on top of Polymarket. That portion is not in the standard markets endpoint, so a market paying $120 a day can look like it pays nothing. This is the full list, live.

no other tool surfaces this

UMA is the oracle that decides who won. While a result is disputed the price stops being a probability and becomes a bet on how a committee votes. Read the dispute and you know the answer before the price does.

one builder out of 474 publishes this

Every trade over $10,000 that crossed the spread. Resting orders are excluded on purpose: a liquidity farmer's book is not a directional signal, and every other tracker mixes the two.

taker-only · the distinction nobody else makes

Polymarket shows you the daily pool. It does not show you your share of it, what getting filled costs you, or how violently the market moves. This table does. Every number here came from putting real money on the book and measuring what happened.

no other tool in the ecosystem publishes this

Every leaderboard sorts by one thing. Side by side they say something different: the top trader this week made more profit on a quarter of the volume of the one below him. Volume rankings are full of bots and farmers. Profit rankings say who is right.